Finnish And Japanese Researchers Find Incredible Lack Of Evidence For "Man Made Climate Change"

A group of Finnish researchers have found that there is a distinct lack of experimental evidence suggesting anthropogenic global warming or man-made climate change are things in a report verified by a Japanese team (archived). The Finns found that the present computers being used all grossly discount the existence of clouds and their profound impact on climate.

After all the noise and political thrashing about over a "crisis" supported by a peculiar, bureaucratic, and subsidized niche of the publishing industry, it seems the pile can be written off as a very Soviet sort of state propaganda.

The full extracted text of the indictment is presented below:


Abstract. In this paper we will prove that GCM-models used in IPCC report
AR5 fail to calculate the influences of the low cloud cover changes on the global
temperature. That is why those models give a very small natural temperature
change leaving a very large change for the contribution of the green house
gases in the observed temperature. This is the reason why IPCC has to use a
very large sensitivity to compensate a too small natural component. Further
they have to leave out the strong negative feedback due to the clouds in order
to magnify the sensitivity. In addition, this paper proves that the changes in
the low cloud cover fraction practically control the global temperature.

1. Introduction

The climate sensitivity has an extremely large uncertainty in the scientific lit-
erature. The smallest values estimated are very close to zero while the highest
ones are even 9 degrees Celsius for a doubling of CO 2 . The majority of the papers
are using theoretical general circulation models (GCM) for the estimation. These
models give very big sensitivities with a very large uncertainty range. Typically
sensitivity values are between 2–5 degrees. IPCC uses these papers to estimate
the global temperature anomalies and the climate sensitivity. However, there are
a lot of papers, where sensitivities lower than one degree are estimated without
using GCM. The basic problem is still a missing experimental evidence of the cli-
mate sensitivity. One of the authors (JK) worked as an expert reviewer of IPCC
AR5 report. One of his comments concerned the missing experimental evidence for
the very large sensitivity presented in the report [1]. As a response to the com-
ment IPCC claims that an observational evidence exists for example in Technical
Summary of the report. In this paper we will study the case carefully.

2. Low cloud cover controls practically the global temperature

The basic task is to divide the observed global temperature anomaly into two
parts: the natural component and the part due to the green house gases. In order
to study the response we have to re-present Figure TS.12 from Technical Summary
of IPCC AR5 report (1). This figure is Figure 1. Here we highlight the subfigure
“Land and ocean surface” in Figure 1. Only the black curve is an observed tem-
perature anomaly in that figure. The red and blue envelopes are computed using
climate models. We do not consider computational results as experimental evi-
dence. Especially the results obtained by climate models are questionable because
the results are conflicting with each other.
Date: July 2, 2019.

Figure 1. Figure TS.12 on page 74 of the Technical Summary of
the IPCC Fifth Assessment report (AR5).
In Figure 2 we see the observed global temperature anomaly (red) and global
low cloud cover changes (blue). These experimental observations indicate that
1 % increase of the low cloud cover fraction decreases the temperature by 0.11°C.
This number is in very good agreement with the theory given in the papers [3,
2, 4]. Using this result we are able to present the natural temperature anomaly
by multiplying the changes of the low cloud cover by −0.11°C/%. This natural
contribution (blue) is shown in Figure 3 superimposed on the observed temperature
anomaly (red). As we can see there is no room for the contribution of greenhouse
gases i.e. anthropogenic forcing within this experimental accuracy. Even though
the monthly temperature anomaly is very noisy it is easy to notice a couple of
decreasing periods in the increasing trend of the temperature. This behavior cannot
be explained by the monotonically increasing concentration of CO 2 and it seems to
be far beyond the accuracy of the climate models.


Figure 2. [2] Global temperature anomaly (red) and the global
low cloud cover changes (blue) according to the observations. The
anomalies are between summer 1983 and summer 2008. The time
resolution of the data is one month, but the seasonal signal is
removed. Zero corresponds about 15°C for the temperature and
26 % for the low cloud cover.

The red curve in Figures 2 and 3 corresponds to the black curve, between years
1983 and 2008, in the above-mentioned subfigure “Land and ocean surface”. If the
clouds and CO 2 were taken into account correctly in the climate models both the
blue and red envelopes should overlap the observed black curve. As we see the trend
of the blue envelope is more like decreasing. We suggest this is due to a wrong or
missing processing of the low cloud cover contribution. In the report AR5 it is even
recognized that the low clouds give the largest uncertainty in computation. In spite
of this IPCC still assumes that the difference between the blue and red envelopes
in Figure 1 is the contribution of greenhouse gases.

Unfortunately, the time interval (1983–2008) in Fig 2 is limited to 25 years
because of the lack of the low cloud cover data. During this time period the CO 2
concentration increased from 343 ppm to 386 ppm and both Figures 1 (IPCC)
and 2 show the observed temperature increase of about 0.4°C. The actual global
temperature change, when the concentration of CO 2 raises from C 0 to C, is
∆T 2CO 2 ln C/C 0
− 11°C · ∆c,
ln 2
where ∆T 2CO 2 is the global temperature change, when the CO 2 concentration is
doubled and ∆c is the change of the low cloud cover fraction. The first and second
term are the contributions of CO 2 [5] and the low clouds, respectively. Using

Figure 3. [2] Global natural temperature anomaly (blue) super-
imposed on the observed (red) temperature anomaly. The blue
anomaly is derived using the observed low cloud cover data from
Figure 2. There are half a dozen very sharp ghost spikes in the
observed (red) temperature anomaly. The Pinatubo eruption and
the strong El Niño are clearly seen.

the sensitivity ∆T 2CO 2 = 0.24°C derived in the papers [3, 2, 4] the contribution
of greenhouse gases to the temperature is only about 0.04°C according to the first
term in the above equation. This is the reason why we do not see this small increase
in temperature in Figure 3, where the temperature anomaly is quite noisy with one
month time resolution. It is clearly seen in Figure 2 that the red and blue anomalies
are like mirror images. This means that the first term is much smaller than the
absolute value of the second term (11°C · ∆c) in equation (1).

It turns out that the changes in the relative humidity and in the low cloud
cover depend on each other [4]. So, instead of low cloud cover we can use the
changes of the relative humidity in order to derive the natural temperature anomaly.
According to the observations 1 % increase of the relative humidity decreases the
temperature by 0.15°C, and consequently the last term in the above equation can
be approximated by −15°C∆φ, where ∆φ is the change of the relative humidity at
the altitude of the low clouds.

Figure 4 shows the sum of the temperature changes due to the natural and
CO 2 contributions compared with the observed temperature anomaly. The natural
component has been calculated using the changes of the relative humidity. Now
we see that the natural forcing does not explain fully the observed temperature
anomaly. So we have to add the contribution of CO 2 (green line), because the timeLOW CLOUD COVER

Figure 4. [2] Observed global mean temperature anomaly (red),
calculated anomaly (blue), which is the sum of the natural and
carbon dioxide contributions. The green line is the CO2 contribu-
tion merely. The natural component is derived using the observed
changes in the relative humidity. The time resolution is one year.
interval is now 40 years (1970–2010). The concentration of CO 2 has now increased
from 326 ppm to 389 ppm. The green line has been calculated using the sensitivity
0.24°C, which seems to be correct. In Fig. 4 we see clearly how well a change in
the relative humidity can model the strong temperature minimum around the year
1975. This is impossible to interpret by CO 2 concentration.

The IPCC climate sensitivity is about one order of magnitude too high, because
a strong negative feedback of the clouds is missing in climate models. If we pay
attention to the fact that only a small part of the increased CO 2 concentration is
anthropogenic, we have to recognize that the anthropogenic climate change does
not exist in practice. The major part of the extra CO 2 is emitted from oceans [6],
according to Henry‘s law. The low clouds practically control the global average
temperature. During the last hundred years the temperature is increased about
0.1°C because of CO 2 . The human contribution was about 0.01°C.

3. Conclusion

We have proven that the GCM-models used in IPCC report AR5 cannot compute
correctly the natural component included in the observed global temperature. The
reason is that the models fail to derive the influences of low cloud cover fraction
on the global temperature. A too small natural component results in a too large
portion for the contribution of the greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide. That is why
IPCC represents the climate sensitivity more than one order of magnitude larger
than our sensitivity 0.24°C. Because the anthropogenic portion in the increased
CO 2 is less than 10 %, we have practically no anthropogenic climate change. The
low clouds control mainly the global temperature.


[1] T.F. Stocker, D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, L.V. Alexander, S.K. Allen, N.L. Bindoff, F.-M. Breon,
J.A. Church, U. Cubasch, S. Emori, P. Forster, P. Friedlingstein, N. Gillett, J.M. Gregory,
D.L. Hartmann, E. Jansen, B. Kirtman, R. Knutti, K. Krishna Kumar, P. Lemke, J. Marotzke,
V. Masson-Delmotte, G.A. Meehl, I.I. Mokhov, S. Piao, V. Ramaswamy, D. Randall, M. Rhein,
M. Rojas, C. Sabine, D. Shindell, L.D. Talley, D.G. Vaughan, and S.-P. Xie. Technical Sum-
mary, book section TS, page 33115. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom
and New York, NY, USA, 2013.
[2] J. Kauppinen, J. Heinonen, and P. Malmi. Influence of relative humidity and clouds on the
global mean surface temperature. Energy & Environment, 25(2):389–399, 2014.
[3] J. Kauppinen, J. Heinonen, and P. Malmi. Major portions in climate change; physical ap-
proach. International Review of Physics, 5(5):260–270, 2011.
[4] J. Kauppinen and P. Malmi. Major feedback factors and effects of the cloud cover and the
relative humidity on the climate. arXiv e-prints, page arXiv:1812.11547, Dec 2018.
[5] G. Myhre, E. J. Highwood, K. P. Shine, and F. Stordal. New estimates of radiative forcing
due to well mixed greenhouse gases. Geophysical Research Letters, 25(14):2715–2718, 1998.
[6] J. Kauppinen and P. Malmi. To be published.
Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Turku

F-35 Pain Continues: Japan Loses One Over Pacific, Grounds Rest

International malaise among US allies purchasing F-35 fighters continues as Japan loses one of their few over the Pacific, an event that has lead them to ground the rest of their F-35 fleet (archived). Other US allies including Italy are looking to escape the costly boondoggle while NATO member Turkey managed to escape the program by prioritizing the purchase of state of the art Russian air defense missiles over the fighters of a utility so questionable the US has had to resort to purchasing foreign turboprop aircraft to handle a portion of the F-35's designed mission.

Japan Ramps Up Military Spending As USG Turns Out To Be Inadequate Provider Of Security

Japan is planning to spend roughly a quarter trillion USD over the next 5 years improving its military posture (archived). This move comes 73 years after Japan demilitarized following US threats to continue the nuclear bombardments which had already devastated two Japanese cities at the time. In recent years Japan has diversified their self defense forces adding an amphibious assault corps to defend their numerous outlying islands as China and both Koreas have presented aggressive military postures towards Japan.

At the same time the US military's presence has faded globally, to the point the product of exuberant fiat outlays appear to only allow the US to marginally prolong wars without impacting their outcome.

Japan Quits International Whaling Commision: No Big Deal

Japan has announced they are quitting the International Whaling Commision and will begin commercial whaling in their territorial waters and aquatic economic zones. This move comes after years of confrontations with the International Pantsuit over their Antarctic research whale hunts and a rejected petition to receive a quota to permit a commercial whale harvest. Seeing the International Pantsuit Whaling control club would not appreciate their diverse and ancient culture, the Japanese quit the club. No exit negotiation process, no missile strikes trying to bait an Infinity War, just a lot of International Pantsuit bitching and Japanese permits for Japanese whalers.

Japan: Cybersecurity Minister Has Not Used A Computer

Japan's minister for cybersecurity Yoshitaka Sakurada is facing substantial local criticism over a recent admission that he has never personally used a computer (archived). This criticism ignores his decades of experience ordering those working under him to carry out computer tasks, though his principled separation from computing precludes his personal participation in the future outside of his present servile position.

Japan Mass Stabbing: 19 Killed 25 Injured

Twenty six year old Satoshi Uematsu (WOT:nonperson) allegedly stabbed 44 of his former coworkers and clients today killing 19 and injuring 25 at a residential facility for the disabled west of Tokyo. Police allege that Uematsu gained entry to the facility by breaking a window and that when he left he was able to make it to the police station to surrender peacefully. Notably Uematsu managed to kill 10 more people than the German aspie whose solo Munich shopping mall putsch has renewed security cooperation between France and Germany. Local media attribute to Uematsu an utterance that approximately translates to "All disabled should cease to exist." The strict knife control laws suffered by the Japanese people failed to prevent this incident. Peace in our time.

Failing Radioactive Waste Tanks At Hanford Site Put Pacific Coast On Edge

Various news sources are reporting that as the nuclear waste containment tanks at the Hanford Site along the Columbia River in Washington State age well beyond their 50 year service life leaks are increasing with at least one tank in a condition that could charitably be described as complete failure (archived). A United States Department of Energy Politruk described the horrific outcome as an "anticipated" side effect of efforts to empty the failed tank. The Hanford site is a part of Manhattan Project National Historical Park and administered jointly by the National Park Service and the Department of Energy. Continue reading

Bank Of Japan Takes Interest Rates Negative

The Bank of Japan has introduced a negative interest rate policy a mere week after Bank Governor Haruhiko Kuroda assured the world his bank would not taking such a course of action anytime "soon" (archived). The move helped to take Bitcoin and the United States dollar higher against the yen. The euro spiked higher against the yen and then regressed.

Karpeles Arrested on Still More Embezzlement Charges

Shingetsu News Agency is reporting on their Twitter feed that Mt Gox CEO Mark Karpelès has been rearrested in Japan on still more embezzlement charges. Japanese police are only allowed to hold a suspect in detention for a limited period of time, so re-arrest on further charges is a common tactic used to keep charged suspects detained indefinitely before trial.